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Tout Corner

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picking winners

  Like Pulling a Rabbit From a Hat?  

Don't You Believe It!

 

handicapping with Winning at the Track
handicapping with Winning at the Track

 

Tips 'n Touts

        betting and exotics wagering

Caveat emptor ...

Remember now - This is horse racing!
We're not gonna be right EVERY TIME.
And, above all... keep your sense of humor!

 

Breeders' Cup Classic - Del Mar- Saturday, November 4, 2017

The 2017 Breeders' Cup -- IMPORTANT NOTE:

The 2017 Breeders' Cup races at Del Mar could shape up to be one of the most interesting days of racing that we've seen in years. Dennis Moore, the new track superintendent at Del Mar also holds the same position at Santa Anita and both tracks have announced a new policy of making these two facilities more compatable - and probably slower and more profitable for alert handicappers this year.

Handicapping the Classic:

"Disappointing" is perhaps a word that best describes the 2017 Breeders' Cup Classic field since this contest can probably be called "The Bob Baffert Show." #1 Arrogate, the Baffert-trained champion, stands a good chance of winning, while #8, West Coast, another Baffert horse, could easily be the main competition. #11 Collected, a young and improving Baffert entry, could also be in the hunt. He at least deserves attention by exotics players. #5 Gun Runner has shown the ability to run the Derby and Travers distance of 1 1/4 but seems to favor the somewhat shorter 1 1/8 route.

There are two European entries and, in my opinion, neither should be a threat (which is oftentimes a reason to be concerned, as many skeptics know). But, I'm throwing 'em out nonetheless.

So, this year, I'd make it an 8-1-5 trifecta with West Coast, Arrogate, and Gun Runner in that order. Looking for a spoiler? I'd use #9 Gunnevera.

RESULTS:

Bob Baffert had a good day. Of the first six horses to cross the wire, three were Baffert-trained, and the place and show money went into his bank account. The winner, #5 Gun Runner, was very impressive as he battled #11 Collected in the stretch paying $6.80 to win. The 5-11 exacta returned $34. #8 West Coast finished third and the 5-11-8 trifecta ticket paid a satisfactory $129.

#1 Arrogate, not his best day for sure, and #9 Gunnevera ran a dead heat for 5th.

On balance, this was a very good day for WATT handicappers. My best race was the eighth race sprint. The 8-10 exacta was a cinch and the winner paid a generous $11. Generally speaking, the course was quite fair with a fast rail, giving the bettors of higher-priced closers decent payoffs.

Ever since we've been marketing the WATT handicapping software (since 1985), we've stressed that it's a "contender" program to identifiy the most likely competitors at the wire rather than a "pick-the-winner black box." The 2017 Breeders' Cup certainly proved that point. It should have been a very profitable Saturday for most WATT handicappers. Congratulations!.

 

Jeff Little, Publisher

 

Attention: WATT Handicappers

The WATT Wizard is a new feature at the Tout Corner. Periodically, "key horse" possibilities will be posted here. Below are a few e-Reports that explain many handicapping ideas for those who use the WATT program - and for those who don't.

Handicapping Tips from the WATT Wizard

Online Handicapping

In Case You Missed It!

Anticipate Upsets

Wizard Selections

Play the Odds

Handicapping Math

Handicapping Software

 

WATT Online Handicapping is HERE!

The World's First Web-based Handicapping Program!

 

Jeff Little, Publisher
Liberty Publishing Company, Inc.

(954) 573-7236

I'm using my iPad and handicapped Santa Anita. I'm in heaven!
And if you were here I'd give you a big kiss! (Publisher's comment - nice, but no thanks).
And a couple of pace line changes made all the difference.
Thank you so much.

P.D., California.

 

 

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DRF Entries & Results

Recommended:

  BloodHorse Entries & Results


Handicapping Rules to Consider

1.  Your Key Horse will be among the three highest PM-Rated horses 85-90% of the time.

2.  One of  the two Pacesetters will be in the exacta about 50% of the time

3. Look for "Talent Gaps" among your top three or four.

4.  Question any Key Horse that has not run the "Race Minimum" in its last three races.

5. The first Contender selection is highly reliable using the new interactive program.

6.  Avoid MSW and Maiden Claiming races featuring more than three first-time starters.

 

Perhaps there should be a rule #7 ... Maintain a positive attitude.   Scared money rarely wins at the race track.  There are many external factors that could influence the way your day unfolds.  One of the best cartoonists of our day, the late Jeff MacNelly, presents one of them here:

In memory of the great Jeff MacNelly

 

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Suggestion, idea, tip?    Contact the Publisher!

 

e-mail to the Publisher JBLittle@BellSouth.net

Twitter: @JBL_Publisher


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